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§37

Transport

THE THESIS

Africa has 680,000km of paved roads — six times less than India for a similar population (§2.7). Trains cannot cross most African borders because the colonial powers laid incompatible track. Flying between African capitals routinely means connecting through Europe. A billion Africans live more than 2km from an all-season road. Every corridor foreigners have financed runs mine-to-port; almost none runs African city to African city. The AR builds the physical spine of the superpower — and it builds it to connect Africans to Africans, which is the one route map no empire ever drew.

THE DISCONNECTION AUDIT

No.MetricFigure
37.0.1Paved roads680,000km — six times smaller than India's network for a similar population (§2.7)
37.0.2Africans >2km from an all-season road~1 Billion — locked out of markets (§2.7)
37.0.3Countries with no operational railway13 sub-Saharan states have none at all (§2.7)
37.0.4How intra-African freight movesOverwhelmingly by road — about three-quarters — with maritime next and rail a rounding error (UNECA): a continent hauling its trade on trucks over broken roads
37.0.5Intra-African trade share15–18% of Africa's trade is with Africa (§3.2) — vs ~60% intra-European
37.0.6Logistics burdenTransport/logistics up to 40% of total costs in Africa vs ~10% in developed economies (AfDB)
37.0.7Port dwell timesContainer dwell at many African ports runs about 20 days against a 4-day global benchmark (AfDB)
37.0.8Road deathsThe world's highest road-fatality rate: Africa holds ~3% of the world's vehicles and roughly a fifth of its road deaths (WHO Global Status Report)
37.0.9African airlines' share of Africa's air trafficUnder 20% — Africa's major carriers combined carry a small minority of the traffic on their own continent (AFCAC)

No.

37.0.1

Metric

Paved roads

Figure

680,000km — six times smaller than India's network for a similar population (§2.7)

No.

37.0.2

Metric

Africans >2km from an all-season road

Figure

~1 Billion — locked out of markets (§2.7)

No.

37.0.3

Metric

Countries with no operational railway

Figure

13 sub-Saharan states have none at all (§2.7)

No.

37.0.4

Metric

How intra-African freight moves

Figure

Overwhelmingly by road — about three-quarters — with maritime next and rail a rounding error (UNECA): a continent hauling its trade on trucks over broken roads

No.

37.0.5

Metric

Intra-African trade share

Figure

15–18% of Africa's trade is with Africa (§3.2) — vs ~60% intra-European

No.

37.0.6

Metric

Logistics burden

Figure

Transport/logistics up to 40% of total costs in Africa vs ~10% in developed economies (AfDB)

No.

37.0.7

Metric

Port dwell times

Figure

Container dwell at many African ports runs about 20 days against a 4-day global benchmark (AfDB)

No.

37.0.8

Metric

Road deaths

Figure

The world's highest road-fatality rate: Africa holds ~3% of the world's vehicles and roughly a fifth of its road deaths (WHO Global Status Report)

No.

37.0.9

Metric

African airlines' share of Africa's air traffic

Figure

Under 20% — Africa's major carriers combined carry a small minority of the traffic on their own continent (AFCAC)

SEE ALSO

§16 Continental Infrastructure Master Plan · §17 Industrialisation Continental Master Plan · §36 Energy · §50 The Blue Economy: Fisheries, Ports & Maritime

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